The President’s proposal to allow
workers to invest part of their Social Security tax in personal accounts
is currently a subject of considerable debate.
Much of the opposition to personal
accounts is due to a lack of information. The facts show that such
accounts would provide workers of all ages and income levels a far
better retirement than does the present system.
As matters now stand, almost all
the Social Security tax paid by today’s workers and their employers is
used to fund the benefits of those who are now retired. When today’s
workers retire, their benefits will (hopefully) be paid by the workers
who come after them.
Contrary to what some have been
led to believe, the system has been funded in this manner ever since it
was created in the 1930s. Not a penny of anyone’s Social Security tax
has ever been set aside in their name.
The so-called Social Security
Trust Fund is not really a trust fund, and represent only a very small
percentage of the future obligations of the system.
In 1950 there were 16 workers to
pay the benefits of each retired person. Due to the fact that the
average life-span is longer and the birth rate is lower, there are now
only a little over three workers per retiree. Forecasts are that several
years from now there will be only two workers to support each retired
person.
Social Security officials forecast
that by 2018, only 13 years from now, the taxes will not be enough to
cover the benefits. In another few years, the so-called Trust Fund will
be depleted.
If the present system is not
changed, the only options will be to significantly raise Social Security
taxes, reduce benefits, or some combination of both.
If personal accounts were
implemented, the Social Security tax a worker and his employer paid in
would be set aside in his or her name. The money would be invested in
stocks or bonds and increase in value over time. Upon retirement,
workers would keep all the money in their account.
If a worker died before reaching
retirement age, the money in his or her personal account would be part
of the estate and be paid to the heirs. Under the present system, if a
worker dies before retirement age and does not have a surviving spouse
or minor children, the family does not receive a penny from the Social
Security taxes he has paid in over the years.
A portion of the Social Security
tax funds disability payments. Under the President’s proposal, this part
of the system would not be changed.
The information in the chart below
is from the Social Security Calculator on the web site of the Heritage
Foundation (www.heritage.org, then click research/features/social
security calculator). Users of the Calculator can enter any age and
income level and compare estimated Social Security benefits and the
value of personal accounts invested in any combination of stocks and
bonds.
For example, a 30-year old male
worker currently earning $20,000 per year will pay $165,726 in Social
Security taxes and receive a retirement benefit of $1,544 per month.
That money invested in a stock fund with an average 7% yield would grow
in value to $756,000 by retirement age, enough to purchase a lifetime
annuity of $6,162 per month. If the money were put in government bonds
earning only 3 per cent, the worker would retire with a monthly benefit
of $2,425.
We keyed over 20 different age and
income level, both for men and women, into the Calculator. In every
case, personal accounts provided a better retirement than did the
present system.
The only downside to personal
accounts is the added up-front cost of making the transition. Social
Security taxes paid into personal accounts would not be available to pay
the benefits of current retirees. To lessen this cost, the President has
proposed a gradual transition, with only part of one’s tax set aside in
personal accounts the first few years.
One objection to personal accounts
is that stocks are a risky investment. But a worker could invest all of
his personal account in government bonds, which are 100 per cent safe,
and still enjoy a better retirement than under the present system.